When it comes to stock-picking, it’s better to be early than late. I’d rather buy shares in a promising company and have to wait for the stock to jump than buy in long after others already have. So from time to time, I like to look back on stocks… Read More
David Sterman has worked as an investment analyst for nearly two decades. He started his Wall Street career in equity research at Smith Barney, culminating in a position as Senior Analyst covering European banks. While at Smith Barney, he learned of all the tricks used by Wall Street to steer the best advice to their top clients and their own trading desk. David has also served as Managing Editor at TheStreet.com and Director of Research at Individual Investor. In addition, David worked as Director of Research for Jesup & Lamont Securities. David has made numerous media appearances over the years, primarily on CNBC and Bloomberg TV, and has a master's degree in management from Georgia Tech. David Stermanon
Analyst Articles
In this month's issue, I'm covering two of the highest dividend payers out there. Read More
Years ago, my dad and I were driving across his farm in his vintage Land Rover, which looks almost exactly like the one John Wayne used in the movie “Hatari!” The heavy-duty off-road tires were having a hard slog through the mud. Dad had cut across a recently plowed field rather than take the long way back to the road. The tires made slow and steady progress — Dad’s old Rover is a tank — and after a few minutes and probably five gallons of gasoline, the nose of the vehicle bounced up and the tires bit into the country… Read More
Years ago, my dad and I were driving across his farm in his vintage Land Rover, which looks almost exactly like the one John Wayne used in the movie “Hatari!” The heavy-duty off-road tires were having a hard slog through the mud. Dad had cut across a recently plowed field rather than take the long way back to the road. The tires made slow and steady progress — Dad’s old Rover is a tank — and after a few minutes and probably five gallons of gasoline, the nose of the vehicle bounced up and the tires bit into the country lane that circles the property. #-ad_banner-#Dad, clearly pleased with himself for conquering the field, didn’t take his foot off the gas and we were soon going nearly 70 miles per hour down a country road with grass in the middle of it. He looked over to me and grinned. “That’s what happens, son,” he said, “when the rubber meets the road!” It became a sort of catch phrase between us. Whenever something really took off, one of us would say, “Well, looks like the rubber met the road,” and we’d both… Read More
It’s a dirty, unglamorous stock. And some would even say the company’s products stink. But, over the years, this stock has continued to offer outstanding returns to investors and traders. The stock shows no signs of slowing yet… In fact, things may just be heating up, making now a potentially profitable time to get in. #-ad_banner-#The stock I’m referring to is dividend champion Altria Group (NYSE: MO), best known for its flagship cigarette brand, Marlboro. But the company is far more than just cigarettes. As the… Read More
It’s a dirty, unglamorous stock. And some would even say the company’s products stink. But, over the years, this stock has continued to offer outstanding returns to investors and traders. The stock shows no signs of slowing yet… In fact, things may just be heating up, making now a potentially profitable time to get in. #-ad_banner-#The stock I’m referring to is dividend champion Altria Group (NYSE: MO), best known for its flagship cigarette brand, Marlboro. But the company is far more than just cigarettes. As the parent company of five tobacco corporations, Altria also manufactures and sells the Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, Husky, and Black & Mild tobacco and smokeless tobacco brands. Specializing in so-called “sin industry” products, Altria also owns a wine business and holds a 27% stake in beer company SABMiller (SBMRY.PK), the world’s second-largest beer brewer by volume, behind only Anheuser-Busch Inbev (NYSE: BUD), according to Bloomberg. Since smoking has such a negative buzz and many cities enforce anti-smoking by-laws, you’d think Altria would be pining for customers. But,… Read More
As spring morphs into summer, many stocks are starting to move sideways. The summer doldrums often spell lackluster demand for stocks — unless they are really deep value plays. Value investors will wade in, even when most other buyers take a break. These folks tend to rummage through the waste basket, looking for discarded stocks that have been tossed out by the crowd. Value investors love to focus on two key points: stocks that are well off of their 52-week high and sport price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios well below the market… Read More
As spring morphs into summer, many stocks are starting to move sideways. The summer doldrums often spell lackluster demand for stocks — unless they are really deep value plays. Value investors will wade in, even when most other buyers take a break. These folks tend to rummage through the waste basket, looking for discarded stocks that have been tossed out by the crowd. Value investors love to focus on two key points: stocks that are well off of their 52-week high and sport price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios well below the market average. Many of the names they’ll encounter are in the table below. The table holds four names that I’ve mentioned in the past, each of which looks quite appealing if you can ride out the problems of 2011. 1. Central European Distribution (Nasdaq: CEDC) This purveyor of wine and spirits is glad to be looking ahead and not behind. The last six quarters have been an exercise in frustration as Russian authorities threatened to revoke its licenses, key rivals started price wars, its bonds were downgraded, and wheat, rye and other… Read More
In early 2008, falling home prices and a declining stock market caused consumer spending to plummet. This lasted for about 18 months. But soon consumers started to realize that the economy wasn’t going to remain in freefall forever. Today, the retailing industry has recovered quickly, is on much more solid footing, and certain players are set for a big move forward in terms of sales and earnings. In 2011, higher food, fuel and commodity costs are keeping consumers focused on more basic necessities, including food, gas and… Read More
In early 2008, falling home prices and a declining stock market caused consumer spending to plummet. This lasted for about 18 months. But soon consumers started to realize that the economy wasn’t going to remain in freefall forever. Today, the retailing industry has recovered quickly, is on much more solid footing, and certain players are set for a big move forward in terms of sales and earnings. In 2011, higher food, fuel and commodity costs are keeping consumers focused on more basic necessities, including food, gas and clothing. But the fact that demand has recovered from the recession a couple of years ago means customers are again paying up for more fashionable and pricey merchandise. Near term, gas prices have already moderated recently, and the consumer spending climate is likely to continue to improve in the next couple of years along with the overall economy. With that, below are three retailers that offer a decent combination of fashionable merchandise but also focus on selling products that consumers will need no… Read More
There’s nothing like being punished twice for something, which is sort of what happened to one big technology firm recently. On May 16, the company’s stock fell nearly 5% ahead of a scheduled earnings report, thanks to a leaked internal memo from the CEO forewarning of a tough third quarter. The CEO’s concerns officially became public the following day, and the stock resumed its slide for a total loss of about 10% since the initial leak. Sound familiar? I’m describing the latest of several recent setbacks suffered by the world’s No. 1 PC… Read More
There’s nothing like being punished twice for something, which is sort of what happened to one big technology firm recently. On May 16, the company’s stock fell nearly 5% ahead of a scheduled earnings report, thanks to a leaked internal memo from the CEO forewarning of a tough third quarter. The CEO’s concerns officially became public the following day, and the stock resumed its slide for a total loss of about 10% since the initial leak. Sound familiar? I’m describing the latest of several recent setbacks suffered by the world’s No. 1 PC maker, Hewlett-Packard Co (NYSE: HPQ). Two straight quarters of reduced full-year earnings guidance from management have also weighed on HP. The bad news hit before the stock even had a chance to fully recover from the scandal last August in which prior CEO Mark Hurd abruptly resigned amidst allegations of sexual harassment — a situation that led to the replacement of a third of HP’s board of directors. Considering these recent troubles and the fact that the PC business in general has been struggling with soft consumer demand, you might assume HP is a stock to avoid. You’d be… Read More
Why Short Sellers are Wrong About Ford
America’s greatest turnaround story looks like it’s stuck in the mud. Shares of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) raced from under $2 in early 2009 to above $18 in early 2011. A move toward the $25 mark started to become the next target for many analysts, myself included. Instead, shares have drifted steadily lower and now trade below $15. Even at that lower level, shares are heavily shorted. Many analysts clearly expect the stock to fall even further, but their logic looks flawed. A… Read More
America’s greatest turnaround story looks like it’s stuck in the mud. Shares of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) raced from under $2 in early 2009 to above $18 in early 2011. A move toward the $25 mark started to become the next target for many analysts, myself included. Instead, shares have drifted steadily lower and now trade below $15. Even at that lower level, shares are heavily shorted. Many analysts clearly expect the stock to fall even further, but their logic looks flawed. A commodity drag After losing a cumulative $7.5 billion in 2008 and 2009, Ford earned a hefty $6.7 billion ($1.91 a share) in 2010. By late last year, analysts started to wonder if $2.50 a share or even $3 a share in profits might be possible by 2012. Now a series of headwinds have altered that view. Short sellers increasingly aver that Ford’s profits may actually drop in 2011 and 2012. They note that commodity prices are rising even faster than Ford can increase prices. What these bears are missing… Read More
3 Foreign Stocks with Buyout Potential
According to recent figures, U.S. companies hold an astounding $1 trillion in overseas bank accounts. The reason for holding this ungodly amount of money overseas? Because bringing the cash back to the United States would require a rather significant tax hit. So what are these companies doing with all this cash? Well, up until recently, not a lot. But that’s beginning to change and it’s one reason why individual investors should pay very close attention to this phenomenon… First, some background… This $1 trillion is a result of profits earned from overseas subsidiaries of… Read More
According to recent figures, U.S. companies hold an astounding $1 trillion in overseas bank accounts. The reason for holding this ungodly amount of money overseas? Because bringing the cash back to the United States would require a rather significant tax hit. So what are these companies doing with all this cash? Well, up until recently, not a lot. But that’s beginning to change and it’s one reason why individual investors should pay very close attention to this phenomenon… First, some background… This $1 trillion is a result of profits earned from overseas subsidiaries of global giants like Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), GE, (NYSE: GE), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) and others and were already taxed by a foreign government. Corporations often don’t repatriate most of these funds, as it would result in double taxation. Current U.S. tax laws require paying a corporate tax rate as high as 35% — regardless of whether taxes have already been paid in another country. As a result, many companies are choosing to keep the cash outside of the United States, and it’s hard to blame them. In many cases, the cash… Read More
The S&P 500 Index — the benchmark used to indicate the health of the overall market — has declined from a peak of 1,370.58 scored in late April to near the 1,320 level, a decline of about 4%. In doing so, it has breached its… Read More