Amber Hestla

Amber Hestla is Lead Investment Strategist behind Profitable Trading's Income Trader, Profit Amplifier and Maximum Income. She specializes in generating income using options strategies that minimize risk by applying skills she learned on military deployments and intelligence training to the markets.

While deployed overseas with the military, Amber learned the importance of analyzing data to forecast what is likely to happen in the future, a skill she now applies to financial markets. Prior to that, Amber studied risk management working undercover. While risk management is no longer a matter of life and death, she believes it is the most important factor in long-term trading success.

And although she makes her living in the markets, she continues to study the markets and trading daily. Her writing has been featured in trading magazines including the Market Technicians Association newsletter, Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Stocks, Futures and Options in the United States, and Shares, a weekly trading magazine published in the United Kingdom.

Analyst Articles

With major stock market indexes at new all-time highs, it’s obvious to many analysts that we are in a bull market. The question, of course, is how much longer can it last. To examine this, I’m including a chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) that shows the new high. I also included the stochastics indicator at the bottom of the chart. Stochastics is a popular momentum indicator that is widely followed. I don’t believe that it works well as a timing tool, but the indicator does have an important characteristic. Let’s take a look… —Recommended Link—… Read More

With major stock market indexes at new all-time highs, it’s obvious to many analysts that we are in a bull market. The question, of course, is how much longer can it last. To examine this, I’m including a chart of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) that shows the new high. I also included the stochastics indicator at the bottom of the chart. Stochastics is a popular momentum indicator that is widely followed. I don’t believe that it works well as a timing tool, but the indicator does have an important characteristic. Let’s take a look… —Recommended Link— America’s 5G Rollout Is In Jeopardy… This $5 Stock Could Save It The U.S. will lose the 5G race, $3.5 trillion in revenue, and 22 million jobs… unless we can solve a devastating technical problem. Luckily, one overlooked company has a solution that can put us back on the map. You could add $234,770 to your bank account this year… but only if you make your move quickly. Banks and hedge funds are starting to gobble up these $5 shares. Click here to stake your claim. In a… Read More

Most semiconductor stocks have rallied nicely in recent months on the expectation that global demand would pick up in the fourth quarter. But Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) recently threw some cold water on that outlook. #-ad_banner-#The company reported third-quarter revenues of $3.8 billion and earnings of $1.49 per share, which were roughly in-line with estimates. But its fourth-quarter forecast was bleak. The company is expecting revenues of $3.2 billion, a sequential decline of $600 million (16%) from this past quarter. Management flatly stated that the downturn could persist into the first half of next year. Like many companies with a… Read More

Most semiconductor stocks have rallied nicely in recent months on the expectation that global demand would pick up in the fourth quarter. But Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) recently threw some cold water on that outlook. #-ad_banner-#The company reported third-quarter revenues of $3.8 billion and earnings of $1.49 per share, which were roughly in-line with estimates. But its fourth-quarter forecast was bleak. The company is expecting revenues of $3.2 billion, a sequential decline of $600 million (16%) from this past quarter. Management flatly stated that the downturn could persist into the first half of next year. Like many companies with a global presence, Texas Instruments cited the negative impact of the ongoing trade war with China. The White House ban on U.S. companies conducting business with telecom equipment maker Huawei has been particularly problematic. Texas Instruments is a key supplier, and Huawei typically accounts for about 3% to 4% of overall sales. That’s a big reason why revenue in the communications sector is expected to drop by 20% next quarter. But the weakness is broad, from automotive to electronics. CFO Rafael Lizardi explained the situation using a colorful analogy. “We are at the very end of a long supply chain, and… Read More

I love being an investment analyst and trader. But I also love the fact that I don’t work in New York City with other analysts and traders. I’m not the only one who feels this way. So does Warren Buffett. Buffett has explained why he prefers Omaha to New York: “People know better, but when they hear a rumor — particularly when they hear it from a high place — they just can’t resist the temptation to go along,” he said. —Recommended Link— America’s 5G Rollout Is In Jeopardy… This $5 Stock Could Save It The U.S. Read More

I love being an investment analyst and trader. But I also love the fact that I don’t work in New York City with other analysts and traders. I’m not the only one who feels this way. So does Warren Buffett. Buffett has explained why he prefers Omaha to New York: “People know better, but when they hear a rumor — particularly when they hear it from a high place — they just can’t resist the temptation to go along,” he said. —Recommended Link— America’s 5G Rollout Is In Jeopardy… This $5 Stock Could Save It The U.S. will lose the 5G race, $3.5 trillion in revenue, and 22 million jobs… unless we can solve a devastating technical problem. Luckily, one overlooked company has a solution that can put us back on the map. You could add $234,770 to your bank account this year… but only if you make your move quickly. Banks and hedge funds are starting to gobble up these $5 shares. Click here to stake your claim. Here’s more of what he had to say on the matter: It happens in Wall Street periodically, and then you get what are, in… Read More

Investors got a rude awakening when food-delivery company GrubHub (Nasdaq: GRUB) reported third-quarter earnings on October 28. Shares took a beating and closed the day down 43%. What in the world could have possibly happened to justify such a massive decline? Well, the short of it is that the massive growth days of the food-delivery industry are likely behind it.  For the third quarter, GrubHub generated $322 million in revenues, a 30% year-over-year increase. However, that figure fell short of analyst estimates who were on average expecting sales of $330 million. Net income of $1 million, or $0.01 per share,… Read More

Investors got a rude awakening when food-delivery company GrubHub (Nasdaq: GRUB) reported third-quarter earnings on October 28. Shares took a beating and closed the day down 43%. What in the world could have possibly happened to justify such a massive decline? Well, the short of it is that the massive growth days of the food-delivery industry are likely behind it.  For the third quarter, GrubHub generated $322 million in revenues, a 30% year-over-year increase. However, that figure fell short of analyst estimates who were on average expecting sales of $330 million. Net income of $1 million, or $0.01 per share, was a massive decrease from the $22.7 million, or $0.24 per share it reported in Q3 2018. To make matters worse, management lowered sales guidance for Q4. But that’s only part of the story… Many times, large moves to the downside in a stock’s share price based on a single quarterly earnings report is a major overreaction by Wall Street. But in GrubHub’s case, it’s an industry-wide issue.  The Most Brutally Honest Shareholder Letter You May Ever Read Before I go any further, the company released a shareholder letter that is worth a read. Not only… Read More

While there are no sure things in the stock market, there is one thing that’s almost certain: After stocks go up, bears start calling for a correction. I know what you’re probably thinking… But what if they’re right?  I get it. Psychologically, it can be daunting to buy stocks when there are rumblings.  In times like these, I am reminded of something one my mentors, Ralph Acampora, said.  —Recommended Link— The world’s most powerful trading system… revealed ​Master Trader Jim Fink has finally agreed to open the doors to his Paragon trading system. A secret… Read More

While there are no sure things in the stock market, there is one thing that’s almost certain: After stocks go up, bears start calling for a correction. I know what you’re probably thinking… But what if they’re right?  I get it. Psychologically, it can be daunting to buy stocks when there are rumblings.  In times like these, I am reminded of something one my mentors, Ralph Acampora, said.  —Recommended Link— The world’s most powerful trading system… revealed ​Master Trader Jim Fink has finally agreed to open the doors to his Paragon trading system. A secret he’s kept for 30 years. This 4-pronged profit machine gives you not one, not two, but four different ways to profit from a single trade. His recommendations could help you rake in $125k in less than 12 months. Don’t miss out on this once in a lifetime opportunity. Only 500 seats are available and they are filling up fast. Get the full details here Louis Rukeyser, Host of Wall Street Week ​ Ralph was often seen on Louis Rukeyser’s “Wall Street Week,” which ran on PBS every Friday night from 1970 through… Read More

I’m pretty sure kids were different when I was young. I recall being respectful and inquisitive. I would ask questions and appreciate the answers adults gave me. But now, from the age of about four onwards, kids today think they know everything. I asked my mom, and she is certain I am wrong. When she finally stopped laughing at me, she said that while I was also a precocious four-year old, I am respectful and inquisitive now. As I read through some research reports this weekend, I was left with the feeling that some analysts are more like know-it-all four-year olds. Read More

I’m pretty sure kids were different when I was young. I recall being respectful and inquisitive. I would ask questions and appreciate the answers adults gave me. But now, from the age of about four onwards, kids today think they know everything. I asked my mom, and she is certain I am wrong. When she finally stopped laughing at me, she said that while I was also a precocious four-year old, I am respectful and inquisitive now. As I read through some research reports this weekend, I was left with the feeling that some analysts are more like know-it-all four-year olds. Some seem unwilling to look past the current situation, even when there is information readily available to help them understand the historical context. Here’s what I mean… —Recommended Link— Get Your Name on Wall Street’s Payment List ​Wall Street pays out big money every single day for stocks-and qualified investors can get their names at the top of the list for easy payouts like $2,950 every week. I’ve been collecting payments like this for 30 years and it’s the most powerful way I know to consistently earn life-changing income. I’d love to show you how… Read More

They say that the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. That quip is widely attributed to famous economist John Maynard Keynes, who was nearly wiped out in the 1920s with leveraged foreign currency trades that went the wrong way. A great many investors have learned this lesson the hard way, ruined not necessarily because they were wrong and the market was right, but because they ran out of cash before the market corrected its mistake. This often happens within asset bubbles. Prices may be overinflated, yet they continue to rise. Those gains lure more buyers, who… Read More

They say that the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. That quip is widely attributed to famous economist John Maynard Keynes, who was nearly wiped out in the 1920s with leveraged foreign currency trades that went the wrong way. A great many investors have learned this lesson the hard way, ruined not necessarily because they were wrong and the market was right, but because they ran out of cash before the market corrected its mistake. This often happens within asset bubbles. Prices may be overinflated, yet they continue to rise. Those gains lure more buyers, who propel prices even higher, which leads to even more rampant speculation. Much like a pyramid scheme, successful investing in such conditions only requires one fool to find an even bigger fool willing to pay a higher price. That’s the nature of momentum investing — it works until it stops working. And then it gets ugly. But going against the herd with short sales carries its own risks. As Mr. Keynes found out, you can run out of money long before the bubble finally pops. But it’s the other half of the equation that I want to talk about today.  When… Read More

Days after college graduation, a newly-minted Finance/Investment Management degree in hand, I found myself combing through the newspaper want-ads looking for work. Yes, I said newspaper. This was the dawn of the internet era, long before job seekers began uploading their resumes to sites like Indeed.com and visiting professional networking portals such as LinkedIn. Fortunately, everything worked out. Needless to say, it’s a different world for today’s job seekers. The average job hunt is filled with digital pathways to make connections. If you’re an electrician looking for a job in the Chicago area, for example, a quick search of CareerBuilder.com… Read More

Days after college graduation, a newly-minted Finance/Investment Management degree in hand, I found myself combing through the newspaper want-ads looking for work. Yes, I said newspaper. This was the dawn of the internet era, long before job seekers began uploading their resumes to sites like Indeed.com and visiting professional networking portals such as LinkedIn. Fortunately, everything worked out. Needless to say, it’s a different world for today’s job seekers. The average job hunt is filled with digital pathways to make connections. If you’re an electrician looking for a job in the Chicago area, for example, a quick search of CareerBuilder.com shows 64 available positions. But the more things change, the more they stay the same. A successful job search still depends in large part (aside from the applicant’s qualifications) on the number of businesses hanging out help-wanted signs. The more the better. And they are plentiful right now, to say the least. —Recommended Link—   Most Traders Do THIS Wrong (Hint: They’re paying Wall Street instead of letting Wall Street pay them!) They’re screwing it up… and they’re missing out on the chance to make easy profits every single week without a ton of risk. Read More

Have you ever driven yourself half-crazy looking for your car keys? You spend so much time looking for them — only to find them sitting in plain sight. They may not have been where you usually leave your keys, but there they are — right in front of you. You must have walked by them a dozen times. #-ad_banner-#The same thing happens to securities that pay irregular — or special — dividends. We like to call them “Wall Street Irregulars.”    These dividend payers offer above-average yields, yet most investors skip right over them. That’s because popular investment resources like Yahoo! Finance rarely… Read More

Have you ever driven yourself half-crazy looking for your car keys? You spend so much time looking for them — only to find them sitting in plain sight. They may not have been where you usually leave your keys, but there they are — right in front of you. You must have walked by them a dozen times. #-ad_banner-#The same thing happens to securities that pay irregular — or special — dividends. We like to call them “Wall Street Irregulars.”    These dividend payers offer above-average yields, yet most investors skip right over them. That’s because popular investment resources like Yahoo! Finance rarely reflect the total yield these companies offer. Most brokerage and investment websites only take a stock’s most recent dividend payment and multiply it times the payment frequency to get a stock’s annual dividend. The websites then use the computed annual dividend to calculate the yield. So while the “posted yield” — the yield investors see listed — may show something south of 2%, a stock’s “trailing yield” — the yield based on the company’s actual dividend payments over the last 12 months — may be much higher. There are various types of Wall Street Irregulars. There are quarterly irregulars, which… Read More