After taking a quick hiatus from the bullish trend that ended in September 2018 — and the near 20% plunge in December — the market, as measured by the S&P 500, has resumed its upward course. The index took out its late September 2018 highs this past Friday, April 26. Since then, it has gone on to hit record heights. To be sure, as the market hits new highs, there will always be the crowd of folks shouting that “this” is the top. Of course, nobody knows what the market will do tomorrow, the next day, next week or a… Read More
After taking a quick hiatus from the bullish trend that ended in September 2018 — and the near 20% plunge in December — the market, as measured by the S&P 500, has resumed its upward course. The index took out its late September 2018 highs this past Friday, April 26. Since then, it has gone on to hit record heights. To be sure, as the market hits new highs, there will always be the crowd of folks shouting that “this” is the top. Of course, nobody knows what the market will do tomorrow, the next day, next week or a month from now. But for us, we can lean on some technical indicators that will help tell us if this is a strong market rally or simply a head fake. The main one that we will look at is the Advance-Decline (A-D) Line. I talked about this indicator in this article, where I warned that a bear market could be looming (a month later the S&P 500 bottomed, dropping 19% from its September high). I also touched on it in this article, showing it rebounding, a signal that near-term momentum was strong. The market has ripped off a double-digit return… Read More