I’ve looked at bond inventories (bonds for sale by various firms all along the street) on, more or less, a daily basis for the past 20 years. It’s a habit. It doesn’t necessarily mean I’m going to buy something. The main purpose of the exercise is to get a feel for the bond market that goes beyond looking at where Treasury bond yields are for that particular day. I see what investors are willing to pay for bonds based on multiple factors, the most important being yield and safety. In recent years, it seems that most investors have been more… Read More
I’ve looked at bond inventories (bonds for sale by various firms all along the street) on, more or less, a daily basis for the past 20 years. It’s a habit. It doesn’t necessarily mean I’m going to buy something. The main purpose of the exercise is to get a feel for the bond market that goes beyond looking at where Treasury bond yields are for that particular day. I see what investors are willing to pay for bonds based on multiple factors, the most important being yield and safety. In recent years, it seems that most investors have been more concerned with quality and capital preservation than yield. That’s no surprise in light of the volatility financial markets have experienced since the Financial Crisis of 2008. Accommodative Federal Reserve policy and investor fear have kept rates at historical lows for nearly a decade. But now that’s changing — albeit slowly. The unexpected election of Donald Trump, while inspiring a tangible rally in stocks, has sparked an upward movement in bond yields (prices go down) due to anticipated inflationary pressure from possible infrastructure spending and tighter foreign trade policy. The Federal Reserve gradually shifting away from its zero-rate federal… Read More