It is an oversimplification to summarize George Soros’ investment philosophy based on the theory of reflexivity into a single sentence, but it is useful to think of the theory as telling us that a trend will continue until it reverses. Reflexivity also points out the direction of the trend can be influenced by underlying economic factors and the perception of traders and policymakers about the trend. That makes analyzing trends more complicated because we need to… Read More
It is an oversimplification to summarize George Soros’ investment philosophy based on the theory of reflexivity into a single sentence, but it is useful to think of the theory as telling us that a trend will continue until it reverses. Reflexivity also points out the direction of the trend can be influenced by underlying economic factors and the perception of traders and policymakers about the trend. That makes analyzing trends more complicated because we need to consider what policymakers might do and how traders will react in addition to prices.#-ad_banner-# The entire global economy might be thought of as a group of trends under the theory of reflexivity. What happens in the U.S. affects Japan, for example, just as policies in Japan have an impact on the U.S. These effects can be seen in exchange rates, a market in which Soros has demonstrated mastery. His most famous trade — a bet against the Bank of England — made him $1 billion in one day. Read More