To apply a shopworn phrase to the bull market of 2013: “A rising tide lifted all boats.” #-ad_banner-# Or at least many of them. Investors gravitated toward almost any company that was delivering decent quarterly results, making it ever harder to spot deep value. Companies that stumbled through a series of challenging quarters, however, stayed in investors’ doghouse. Yet as the world’s top investors will tell you, real profits are made in the unloved stocks, not the loved ones. That was clearly logic in place for Bill Gates and his investment firm: While most investors were shunning heavy equipment maker Caterpillar… Read More
To apply a shopworn phrase to the bull market of 2013: “A rising tide lifted all boats.” #-ad_banner-# Or at least many of them. Investors gravitated toward almost any company that was delivering decent quarterly results, making it ever harder to spot deep value. Companies that stumbled through a series of challenging quarters, however, stayed in investors’ doghouse. Yet as the world’s top investors will tell you, real profits are made in the unloved stocks, not the loved ones. That was clearly logic in place for Bill Gates and his investment firm: While most investors were shunning heavy equipment maker Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Gates and his team were loading up. Though Gates likely sees many virtues for Caterpillar, it’s the company’s financial firepower that may have held the greatest appeal. As I noted back in September, “Caterpillar’s cash flow is so robust that its dividend was hiked at a double-digit pace in 2012 and again in 2013, even as the company is in the midst of a $7.5 billion share buyback program.” Fast-forward to January, and Gates is looking wiser than most. Caterpillar just topped earnings per share (EPS) forecasts by more than 20%, leading to fresh surge in the stock. Read More