As traders, we can take advantage of the late summer doldrums in the market and open a trade that is virtually a guaranteed winner. Volume has all but disappeared from the stock market — it seems… Read More
Options, Futures & Derivatives
This has been another year of extreme market volatility. In May, after rallying to a new multi-year high in the first four months of the year, the S&P 500 saw a sharp 9% pullback before retracing all those losses in June… Read More
Gregg Engles is a very lucky man. The CEO of Dean Foods (NYSE: DF) is surrounded by a very friendly group of board members who want him to make lots of money, no matter how he performs. And frankly, his performance has been dismal. Read More
With a slew of bad news recently hitting the streets, it appears fear is on the rise. Unemployment rates remain high at 8.8%, housing sales are still slugglish and, despite an already weak U.S. dollar, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates near zero —… Read More
In the investment business, we’re very good at talking about when to buy. We can wax poetic about the single-digit piece-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and the deep-discount to book value or the return on equity. It’s the selling part we all need to work on… The reasons investors hang on to a stock are so vast and complex, it would take a team of psychiatrists at least a decade to begin analyzing them. Typically, the two major reasons are greed and emotional attachment. Greed is… Read More
In the investment business, we’re very good at talking about when to buy. We can wax poetic about the single-digit piece-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and the deep-discount to book value or the return on equity. It’s the selling part we all need to work on… The reasons investors hang on to a stock are so vast and complex, it would take a team of psychiatrists at least a decade to begin analyzing them. Typically, the two major reasons are greed and emotional attachment. Greed is simple: we like making money and we want to make more. The emotional attachment is the weird part. I’ve always been a big fan of the Warren Buffett philosophy on how to deal with the emotions involved in holding stocks: that stock doesn’t know that you own it. The hundred shares of Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO) doesn’t tell you it loves you when you come home from work. If it does, we’ve got bigger problems. It’s OK to sell stuff. Look at it like you would a party. Eventually you have to… Read More
I look forward to every earnings season. It’s a time when companies on my watch list may stumble, placing them squarely into value territory. As long as the long-term investment thesis is intact, you’ve got a rare chance to step in when shares are 20%, 30% or even… Read More
Last week, investors got IPO fever — that is, for hot Chinese offerings. The standouts included Youku.com (Nasdaq: YOKU), the “YouTube of China,” and Commerce China Dangdang (Nasdaq: DANG), the “Amazon.com of China.” The stocks soared 161% and 87%, respectively. Of… Read More
The remarkable run in gold and silver prices this year has had me thinking lately — particularly silver’s run. Recently, gold’s poorer cousin reached 30 year highs, with prices reaching $30 per ounce on the futures market. It reminded me of a story… Read More
There seems to be no end to the commodities bull-run. The Reuters-Jefferies CRB index, which tracks 19 heavily-traded commodities, posted a nice gain of +4.8% in October. Keep in mind that came after a sizzling +8.5% pop in September. All in all, the gains were broad-based… Read More
You’ve likely been wondering what’s going on with the market. The S&P 500 is up about +12% since the start of September, yet unemployment is still high, the U.S. deficit is still enormous and the overall economic picture is still hazy. What’s behind it all? I think most of the answer lies in QE2. No, not the Queen Elizabeth 2 ocean liner. QE2 is what the business media is calling the pending second wave of quantitative easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve. To stimulate the… Read More
You’ve likely been wondering what’s going on with the market. The S&P 500 is up about +12% since the start of September, yet unemployment is still high, the U.S. deficit is still enormous and the overall economic picture is still hazy. What’s behind it all? I think most of the answer lies in QE2. No, not the Queen Elizabeth 2 ocean liner. QE2 is what the business media is calling the pending second wave of quantitative easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve. To stimulate the economy, the U.S. Federal Reserve has set short-term interest rates at all-time lows. But the economy is still sluggish and unemployment remains stubbornly high. To further stimulate the economy, the Fed has stated that it is likely to try a little-used tool called quantitative easing. Quantitative easing is used to hold or push down long-term interest rates. To do this, the central bank buys long-term Treasury bonds, keeping their prices higher — and yields lower. The hope is that by… Read More